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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| graynotebook19 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (8706–6074, n=14780) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (865–456, n=1321) | 50% (1029–1027, n=2056) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.2K | $5.6M | $4.1M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (66 of 78 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (53 of 75 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −3 pts, n=1051 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 4306 at avg 40¢, ROI −3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 1% of 2554) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 37% of 91) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 190) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 96% of 1471) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | graynotebook19 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $41 | — | No $3.1K | — |