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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
grinder1011joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)43% (101–136, n=237)53% (10–9, n=19)66% (868–456, n=1324)
Consensus PnL$5.4K$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #748PM monthly #2PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus33% (19 of 58 open)no open consensus position76% (16 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicElections −10 pts, n=11—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won51% of 176 at avg 42¢, ROI +4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢45% (won 11% of 80)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 68% of 22)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 74% of 23)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 94% of 51)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketgrinder1011joseph00677ndb1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $325—No $1.4M