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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | grinder1011 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 43% (102–136, n=238) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (876–457, n=1333) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $5.4K | $5.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #748 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 45% (67 of 149 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (91 of 127 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Elections −10 pts, n=11 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 51% of 176 at avg 42¢, ROI +4% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 45% (won 11% of 80) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 13% (won 68% of 22) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 13% (won 74% of 23) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 29% (won 94% of 51) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | grinder1011 | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.3K | — | Yes $2.9M |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $358 | — | No $1.4M |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $49 | — | No $798K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.5K | — | No $89K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.4K | — | Yes $81K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.7K | — | Yes $559K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $441 | — | No $81K |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $1.6K | — | No $3.0K |