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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| heyboy800 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (1091–666, n=1757) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$13K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Tennis −3 pts, n=214 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1439 at avg 59¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 15% of 55) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 41% of 264) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 53% (won 59% of 759) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 79% of 361) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | heyboy800 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Aliaksandra Sasnovich $368 | — | Aliaksandra Sasnovich $109K | — |