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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
howard22222ndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)42% (135–189, n=324)63% (1095–632, n=1727)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL-$26K$4.6M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #111PM monthly #72
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)71% (70 of 98 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +8 pts n=113, ROI +27%
  • NBA +4 pts n=15, ROI −4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicSoccer −12 pts, n=29NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won46% of 228 at avg 45¢, ROI +21%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 12% of 42)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 40% of 80)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 63% of 95)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 82% of 11)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markethoward22222ndb1S-Works
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $30K—Bilibili Gaming $207K