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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| howard22222 | ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (135–189, n=324) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | -$26K | $4.6M | $14.9M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #27 + pinned | PM monthly #72 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (71 of 99 open) | 53% (35 of 66 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −12 pts, n=29 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 228 at avg 45¢, ROI +21% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 12% of 42) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 40% of 80) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 63% of 95) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 82% of 11) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | howard22222 | ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $30K | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $258K |