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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
iWasEnough0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)54% (7478–6498, n=13976)46% (131–154, n=285)45% (542–652, n=1194)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$37K-$6.6M$11.0M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #335was PM monthly #715PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus81% (17 of 21 open)no open consensus position87% (135 of 155 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=303College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 17% of 507)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 559)42% (won 46% of 565)36% (won 98% of 198)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 64% of 461)57% (won 51% of 766)35% (won 99% of 191)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 92% of 387)0% (won 100% of 4)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketiWasEnough0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3—No $114K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $835—Yes $274K—