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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
iWasEnoughbeachboy4pleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)55% (5265–4240, n=9505)68% (43–20, n=63)49% (345–353, n=698)
Consensus PnL$37K$5.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #335was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus65% (67 of 103 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=303NBA −6 pts, n=93MLB −1 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 17% of 507)3% (won 17% of 6)0% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 559)30% (won 57% of 63)38% (won 43% of 266)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 64% of 461)54% (won 51% of 115)61% (won 54% of 426)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 92% of 387)14% (won 86% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.