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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| iWasEnough | beachboy4 | pleaseplease123 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (5265–4241, n=9506) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 49% (345–353, n=698) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $5.8M | $3.2M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #335 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #92 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (65 of 99 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=303 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 17% of 507) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 38% of 559) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 64% of 461) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 92% of 387) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | iWasEnough | beachboy4 | pleaseplease123 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Musetti $165 | — | — | Hubert Hurkacz $1.2K |