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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| iWasEnough | surfandturf | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (7479–6499, n=13978) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $38K | -$77K | $11.0M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #335 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (15 of 19 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=303 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 17% of 507) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 38% of 559) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 64% of 461) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 92% of 387) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | iWasEnough | surfandturf | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | No $114K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $835 | — | Yes $274K | — |