Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
imjustkenisgheyndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)50% (444–447, n=891)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$128K$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #428PM monthly #98PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus55% (6 of 11 open)72% (61 of 85 open)80% (12 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNHL −14 pts, n=61NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won43% of 763 at avg 43¢, ROI +3%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 25% of 75)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢68% (won 41% of 519)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 52% of 149)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 95% of 20)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketimjustkenisgheyndb1primm
Cincinnati vs. Houston
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Cincinnati $3.5K—Houston $34K
Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
opposite sides · consensus Kansas State
Kansas State $3.5K—Oklahoma State $28
Spread: Ohio State (-6.5)
same side · consensus Oregon
Oregon $340—Oregon $4.9K