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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | Kaczka | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 52% (431–405, n=836) | 65% (902–484, n=1386) | 47% (13886–15398, n=29284) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $12K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #101 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 70% (107 of 152 open) | 50% (14 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 4% (won 68% of 25) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 72% of 125) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 62% (won 88% of 347) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 11% (won 92% of 62) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.