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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677Likaseentndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)26% (315–877, n=1192)64% (1097–630, n=1727)51% (28105–27112, n=55217)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$28K$4.8M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #64PM monthly #97PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)65% (17 of 26 open)73% (111 of 152 open)64% (44 of 69 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Elections ±0 pts, n=187NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%42% of 473 at avg 43¢, ROI +10%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)51% (won 3% of 240)13% (won 14% of 187)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 36% of 28)19% (won 39% of 269)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)8% (won 61% of 38)23% (won 57% of 328)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 95% of 167)44% (won 94% of 622)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677Likaseentndb1UpTheBlues
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $101Yes $290—