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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677Limousinndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)57% (684–524, n=1208)66% (872–458, n=1330)47% (14225–15839, n=30064)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$39K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #163PM monthly #25PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (51 of 89 open)73% (95 of 130 open)59% (36 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 158 at avg 64¢, ROI +36%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)11% (won 100% of 18)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 100% of 34)20% (won 39% of 252)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)20% (won 100% of 32)24% (won 57% of 306)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)47% (won 100% of 74)43% (won 93% of 540)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677Limousinndb1RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Francisco Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Francisco Cerundolo
—Arthur Rinderknech $1.4K—Francisco Cerundolo $4.0K
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Daejeon Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $662—Over $34
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Polina Iatcenko
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Polina Iatcenko $74—Anastasia Zakharova $55
Bratislava 2: Mika Brunold vs Michael Vrbensky
opposite sides · consensus Michael Vrbensky
—Michael Vrbensky $88—Mika Brunold $15
Taranto: Tiago Pereira vs Peter Makk
opposite sides · consensus Peter Makk
—Tiago Pereira $3—Peter Makk $74
Chennai Open: Jeline Vandromme vs Kyoka Okamura
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
—Jeline Vandromme $11K—Jeline Vandromme $26K
Taipei: Lloyd Harris vs Yosuke Watanuki
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $167—Yosuke Watanuki $13K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Liudmila Samsonova
same side · consensus Liudmila Samsonova
—Alexandra Shubladze $7.0K—Alexandra Shubladze $3.9K
Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2—Over $1.3K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Tsung-Hao Huang
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $88—Coleman Wong $1.1K
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Daejeon Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $140—Under $155
Vissel Kobe leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $15—No $127
Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $16—Under $49
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Daejeon Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $17—Under $34
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Katherine Hui
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Katherine Hui $9—Katherine Hui $6