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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | RN1 | sainttroplay | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 52% (302–278, n=580) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $14.8M | $4.4M | -$62K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 59% (52 of 88 open) | no open consensus position | 27% (3 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=75 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 53% of 599 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% | 21% (won 14% of 123) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 23% (won 48% of 136) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 32% (won 59% of 193) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% | 25% (won 81% of 147) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | RN1 | sainttroplay | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | — | No $4.2K |