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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | NeverLoseBet | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 48% (87–95, n=182) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.1M | -$362K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #26 | was PM monthly #483 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 59% (35 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | NFL −34 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 48% of 177 at avg 54¢, ROI −7% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 7% (won 23% of 13) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 39% (won 35% of 69) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 28% (won 54% of 50) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 25% (won 69% of 45) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | NeverLoseBet | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $777K | Yes $2.0K | — |