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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1FakeMadridRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)64% (1097–630, n=1727)59% (928–645, n=1573)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$4.8M$1.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #98Hand-pickedPM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (112 of 152 open)100% (1 of 1 open)55% (33 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +8 pts n=259, ROI +4%
  • NFL +24 pts n=17, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=862, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147MLB −1 pts, n=39—
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%60% of 1462 at avg 57¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)9% (won 16% of 131)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)28% (won 48% of 414)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 62% of 512)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)28% (won 85% of 405)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1FakeMadridRN1
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $115—Yes $97
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $34KNo $11K