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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5014–3415, n=8429) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (18 of 39 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $672 | — | Magic $76K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $137 | — | Magic $13K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $3.8K | — | Chiefs $152K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Broncos | Chiefs $6 | — | Chiefs $1.2K |