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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| kegli | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (49–44, n=93) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $4.1M | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #984 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (10 of 16 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 61% (130 of 212 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tennis −4 pts, n=23 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 73 at avg 32¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 7% of 43) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 40% of 5) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 56% of 9) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 94% of 16) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | kegli | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $810 | Yes $5.6K | — | — |