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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
kleomarcusbeachboy4sainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (1696–1013, n=2709)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)
Consensus PnL$12K$5.8M$4.4M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #983was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position52% (29 of 56 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicOther Sports −3 pts, n=79NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won65% of 2557 at avg 65¢, ROI +1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 25% of 120)3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 41% of 375)30% (won 57% of 63)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 60% of 939)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 81% of 1123)14% (won 86% of 29)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.