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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1beachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGIIsainttroplay
| leflaive | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (1230–1649, n=2879) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $10.6M | $19.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 90% (147 of 164 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=618 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 2768 at avg 42¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 19% of 785) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 38% of 1007) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 58% of 702) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 83% of 274) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | leflaive | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $70 | Yes $280K | — |