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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
legitgameRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-176631754118800gringo00
Record (consensus markets)57% (249–187, n=436)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)46% (131–154, n=285)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$15K$14.8M-$6.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (29 of 50 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won88% of 268 at avg 57¢, ROI +34%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 47% of 17)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 83% of 58)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)0%
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 93% of 135)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 93% of 58)32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.