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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lightningbolts | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (442–307, n=749) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $92K | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #565 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 71% (5 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 299 at avg 60¢, ROI +41% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 10) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 64) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 100% of 136) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 89) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lightningbolts | S-Works |
|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $2.5K | Bilibili Gaming $590K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus T1 | Bilibili Gaming $275 | Bilibili Gaming $12K |