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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lryyy0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)43% (4709–6226, n=10935)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL-$34K-$6.6M$14.8M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #745was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus60% (9 of 15 open)no open consensus position58% (29 of 50 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=1276College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won44% of 2530 at avg 46¢, ROI 0%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 4% of 849)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 31% of 558)42% (won 46% of 565)22% (won 94% of 5518)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 69% of 455)57% (won 51% of 766)36% (won 99% of 8928)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 91% of 668)0% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketlryyy0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1joseph00677
Spread: Al Nassr Club (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Nassr Club
Al Nassr Club $2—Pakhtakor $51—
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $13—Over $5.5K—
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3—Over $2.9K—
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $22—Under $859—
Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $43—No $125—