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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lryyy0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)43% (4709–6226, n=10935)61% (495–321, n=816)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$34K-$352K$14.8M$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #745was PM monthly #51PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)72% (13 of 18 open)56% (27 of 48 open)87% (143 of 164 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=1276Soccer ±0 pts, n=115——
Settled positions, side won44% of 2530 at avg 46¢, ROI 0%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 4% of 849)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 31% of 558)34% (won 58% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 69% of 455)43% (won 69% of 354)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 91% of 668)7% (won 80% of 60)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketlryyy0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816RN1BreakTheBank
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KUnder $129—
Real Oviedo vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $9—Under $373—
Villa Maria: Mateo Del Pino vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Mateo Del Pino
Mateo Del Pino $2—Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $11—
Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata
same side · consensus Ryo Tabata
Ryo Tabata $374—Ryo Tabata $20K—
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $14—Under $4.5K—
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49—Yes $3.7K—
Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $43—No $126—