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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lzh1RN1
Record (consensus markets)42% (466–633, n=1099)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)
Consensus PnL-$110K$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #838PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)61% (79 of 130 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won88% of 510 at avg 48¢, ROI +40%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 59% of 41)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 89% of 220)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢47% (won 93% of 238)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 91% of 11)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketlzh1RN1
Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.8KYes $48
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $160Yes $145
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Celtics $1.2KCeltics $116