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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| macrosteaks | joseph00677 | ndb1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2934–2372, n=5306) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$7.9K | $5.6M | $4.1M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (51 of 105 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (48 of 71 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | Esports −4 pts, n=348 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 4909 at avg 50¢, ROI −1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 9% of 1820) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 38% of 598) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 60% of 609) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 92% of 1882) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | macrosteaks | joseph00677 | ndb1 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | — | No $18 | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | No $142 | — |