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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
midtermsBreakTheBank00gringo00CORGII
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$38K$10.6M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #441PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)72% (74 of 103 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)0%9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 192)0%56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 107)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmidtermsBreakTheBank00gringo00CORGII
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $326KYes $169K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.8KYes $272K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $17KNo $40K——