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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
midwicket7200gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)55% (6–5, n=11)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$268K$3.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #178was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)47% (7 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 61¢, ROI +45%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 100% of 1)0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢0%0%36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 2)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 1)0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketmidwicket7200gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $6.8K