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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
monkeymashingkeyboardsainttroplaybeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (612–524, n=1136)71% (10–4, n=14)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$4.4M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #20was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (6 of 11 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)52% (56 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +47 pts n=261, ROI +48%
  • NBA +50 pts n=80, ROI +49%
  • Tennis +53 pts n=42, ROI +50%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won100% of 587 at avg 52¢, ROI +48%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 9)0%3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 100% of 172)50% (won 100% of 5)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 100% of 396)50% (won 100% of 5)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 10)0%14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketmonkeymashingkeyboardsainttroplaybeachboy4RN1
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $22K——Cowboys $605
Spread: Bengals (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
Bengals $12K——Titans $39
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $4.8K——Magic $161