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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188CORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (862–456, n=1318)46% (131–154, n=285)61% (395–248, n=643)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)
Consensus PnL$4.1M-$6.6M$194K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #69was PM monthly #715PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (49 of 72 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (27 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)0% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 252)42% (won 46% of 565)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 306)57% (won 51% of 766)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 540)0% (won 100% of 4)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.