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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1NM-PprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (987–572, n=1559)83% (5363–1106, n=6469)50% (1106–1119, n=2225)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$47K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #102PM monthly #523PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (100 of 134 open)79% (77 of 98 open)no open consensus position50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)6% (won 100% of 256)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 859)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 884)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 2087)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1NM-PprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $1.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $249—No $2.5K