Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1RN1Unit70
Record (consensus markets)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)33% (18–37, n=55)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$14.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #98PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #797
Sides with the consensus73% (113 of 154 open)60% (42 of 70 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%52% of 23 at avg 32¢, ROI +54%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)48% (won 18% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)35% (won 88% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)17% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1RN1Unit70
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $18KYes $11K—
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $251Under $2
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $7.4KNo $121—