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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 47% (14256–15876, n=30132) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (361–221, n=582) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $14.8M | $4.4M | $322K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #543 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (30 of 42 open) | 54% (35 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (14 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 47% of 617 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% | 45% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 17% (won 43% of 107) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 13% (won 82% of 78) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% | 25% (won 95% of 152) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9M | — | — | Yes $6.0K |