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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | RN1 | stepanka1234 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 47% (14382–15903, n=30285) | 80% (63–16, n=79) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $14.8M | $39K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #599 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (59 of 83 open) | 51% (45 of 89 open) | 100% (5 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 63 at avg 78¢, ROI +20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 22% (won 100% of 14) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 78% (won 100% of 49) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | stepanka1234 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $31K | Under $7.2K | — |