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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | stepanka1234 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4513–3386, n=7899) | 65% (896–472, n=1368) | 47% (13828–15322, n=29150) | 80% (63–16, n=79) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $4.5M | $14.8M | $38K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #83 | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #606 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 76% (31 of 41 open) | 64% (43 of 67 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 60 at avg 78¢, ROI +20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 23% (won 100% of 14) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 77% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | stepanka1234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.8K | — | Lakers $3 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $12K | — | Quentin Halys $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $441 | — | Spurs $265 | — |