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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | S-Works | trgparking | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) | 55% (835–691, n=1526) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $3.8M | $550K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #685 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 52% of 1460 at avg 51¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 22% (won 16% of 314) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 27% (won 35% of 401) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 28% (won 62% of 410) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 23% (won 94% of 335) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | S-Works | trgparking |
|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $151K | T1 $5 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | — | T1 $863K | T1 $100K |