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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph00677sainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| ndb1 | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 37% (173–289, n=462) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $108K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #117 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 64% (14 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Mentions −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 61% (won 1% of 161) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 3% (won 14% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 4% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 96% of 85) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $239K | No $14K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $943 | No $5.0K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | Yes $1 |