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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph00677sainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| ndb1 | northdrawer | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (875–457, n=1332) | 58% (9777–6964, n=16741) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | -$4.7K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #162 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (92 of 128 open) | 90% (52 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Weather −3 pts, n=710 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 39% of 4589 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 57% (won 0% of 2617) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 2% (won 44% of 110) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 4% (won 61% of 163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 37% (won 96% of 1699) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | northdrawer |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $78K | No $104 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.1K | No $47 |