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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4sainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | northdrawer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 59% (10800–7655, n=18455) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.1M | $43K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #162 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (30 of 43 open) | 67% (45 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Weather −2 pts, n=942 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 40% of 5327 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 56% (won 0% of 2980) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 2% (won 44% of 129) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 4% (won 62% of 209) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 38% (won 96% of 2009) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | northdrawer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $31K | No $285 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $73K | No $102 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $3.2K | No $34 |