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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1northdrawersainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)66% (872–458, n=1330)58% (9913–7147, n=17060)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$45K$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #25PM monthly #162was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus73% (95 of 130 open)85% (56 of 66 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132Weather −2 pts, n=942—
Settled positions, side won64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%40% of 5327 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)56% (won 0% of 2980)0%
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 40% of 253)2% (won 44% of 129)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 310)4% (won 62% of 209)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 544)38% (won 96% of 2009)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1northdrawersainttroplay
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $30KNo $285—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $78KNo $104—
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.1KNo $34—