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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
| beachboy4 | ndb1 | northdrawer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 59% (10851–7644, n=18495) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $4.1M | $47K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #119 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 85% (192 of 227 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Weather −2 pts, n=942 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 40% of 5327 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 56% (won 0% of 2980) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 2% (won 44% of 129) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 4% (won 62% of 209) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 38% (won 96% of 2009) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | ndb1 | northdrawer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $604K | No $171 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.0M | No $497 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5M | No $324 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $236K | No $1.7K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $7.1K | No $359 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $3.2K | No $5 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $943 | No $8 |