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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | northdrawer | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (901–474, n=1375) | 57% (10839–8075, n=18914) | 50% (1106–1117, n=2223) | 47% (13863–15370, n=29233) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.5M | -$177K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (110 of 151 open) | 75% (219 of 293 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (17 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Soccer −3 pts, n=341 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 39% of 5489 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 57% (won 0% of 3123) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 2% (won 46% of 134) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 4% (won 61% of 222) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 37% (won 96% of 2010) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | northdrawer | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? same side · consensus No | No $2.0K | No $391 | — | — |