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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | sainttroplay | VictorLudorum | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 54% (4633–3872, n=8505) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $4.4M | $154K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #26 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #166 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (29 of 39 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (50 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | Elections −1 pts, n=1079 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 67% of 4851 at avg 68¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% | 27% (won 2% of 1290) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 4% (won 35% of 183) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 59% of 227) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% | 65% (won 97% of 3151) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | sainttroplay | VictorLudorum |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $544K | — | No $1.2K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $324K | — | No $641 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | No $1.4M | — | No $2.2K |