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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
ndb1RN1VictorLudorum
Record (consensus markets)63% (990–573, n=1563)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)50% (5016–4952, n=9968)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$14.8M$99K
Tracked asPM monthly #105PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #173
Sides with the consensus74% (81 of 110 open)63% (124 of 197 open)85% (50 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +2 pts n=15, ROI 0%
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139—Elections −1 pts, n=1210
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%67% of 5058 at avg 67¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)28% (won 2% of 1396)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)4% (won 34% of 186)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)5% (won 59% of 230)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)64% (won 97% of 3246)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.