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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1sainttroplayVictorLudorum
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)65% (888–469, n=1357)no settled market53% (4798–4249, n=9047)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$4.2M—$103K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #149—PM monthly #175
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)74% (34 of 46 open)no open consensus position86% (530 of 615 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
not computed yet
  • MMA +2 pts n=15, ROI 0%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—Elections −1 pts, n=1210
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—67% of 5058 at avg 67¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 15% of 168)—28% (won 2% of 1396)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 39% of 256)—4% (won 34% of 186)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 58% of 314)—5% (won 59% of 230)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)43% (won 93% of 550)—64% (won 97% of 3246)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1sainttroplayVictorLudorum
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $15K——No $40
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.2K——No $14
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $440K——No $88
Will Brighton & Hove Albion win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $133—No $10