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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1VictorLudorum
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (5031–4954, n=9985)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.2M$99K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #103PM monthly #175
Sides with the consensus81% (25 of 31 open)72% (71 of 98 open)85% (64 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • MMA +2 pts n=15, ROI 0%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139Elections −1 pts, n=1210
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%67% of 5058 at avg 67¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)28% (won 2% of 1396)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)4% (won 34% of 186)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)5% (won 59% of 230)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)64% (won 97% of 3246)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1VictorLudorum
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1Yes $1.0M—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $335K—