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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| neymar1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (357–721, n=1078) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $158K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #414 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (11 of 15 open) | 85% (56 of 66 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 454 at avg 37¢, ROI +48% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 66% of 146) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 46% (won 87% of 207) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 96% of 97) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | neymar1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $280 | Yes $36K | — | — |