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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nigiri99 | joseph00677 | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5854–7018, n=12872) | 50% (10–10, n=20) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | -$409K | $5.3M | $4.1M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (43 of 112 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=1324 | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 10411 at avg 46¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 16% of 2120) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 42% of 3821) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 57% of 3361) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 79% of 1109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nigiri99 | joseph00677 | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $2.7K | Yes $6.4K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz opposite sides · consensus Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti $646 | — | — | Hubert Hurkacz $2.1K |
| Villa Maria: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Gonzalo Villanueva opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Villanueva | Carlos Maria Zarate $116 | — | — | Gonzalo Villanueva $643 |