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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nobody2somebodyCORGII00gringo00surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)73% (630–232, n=862)62% (395–247, n=642)75% (6–2, n=8)52% (273–252, n=525)
Consensus PnL$432K$4.5M$3.5M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=64——NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won80% of 770 at avg 57¢, ROI +24%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 44% of 39)9% (won 92% of 36)0%20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 69% of 191)56% (won 99% of 223)0%21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 84% of 366)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 90% of 174)2% (won 100% of 7)0%26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketnobody2somebodyCORGII00gringo00surfandturf
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus FaZe
FURIA $3.0KFaZe $9.7K——