Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	oieshfn345	beachboy4	RN1	00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)	60% (305–207, n=512)	68% (43–20, n=63)	48% (12896–14023, n=26919)	75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL	-$1.5M	$5.8M	$13.4M	$3.5M
Tracked as	PM monthly #208	was PM monthly #24	PM monthly #24 + pinned	was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus	78% (7 of 9 open)	100% (2 of 2 open)	63% (17 of 27 open)	no open consensus position
Strongest topics	Soccer +21 pts n=272, ROI −12%	NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19% Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%	College Football +44 pts n=767, ROI +41% MLB +41 pts n=3174, ROI +40% NFL +41 pts n=615, ROI +37%	none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic	—	NBA −6 pts, n=92	—	—
Settled positions, side won	99% of 280 at avg 78¢, ROI −9%	57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%	94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%	86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢	3% (won 78% of 9)	3% (won 17% of 6)	10% (won 56% of 2534)	0%
Entries 30–50¢	4% (won 91% of 11)	29% (won 56% of 62)	22% (won 94% of 5497)	0%
Entries 50–70¢	14% (won 98% of 40)	54% (won 51% of 115)	36% (won 99% of 8897)	100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up	79% (won 100% of 220)	14% (won 86% of 29)	31% (won 100% of 7736)	0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	oieshfn345	beachboy4	RN1	00gringo00
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes	Yes $6.4K	—	No $2.2K	—
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No	Yes $93	—	No $912	—
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No	No $1.5K	—	No $172	—